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Essays on Infinite Lifespans
Max More
IT IS HOW MANY, NOT HOW LONG, THAT MATTERS?
Limiting population growth by opposing life extension
not only fails the ethical test, it also fails the pragmatic test.
Keeping the death rate up simply is not an effective way of
slowing population growth. Population growth depends far
more on how many children families have, as opposed to how
long people live. In mathematical terms, longer life has no
effect on the exponential growth rate. It only affects a con-
stant of the equation. This means that it matters little how
long we live after we have reproduced. Compare two societies:
In country A, people live on average only to 40 years of age,
each family producing 5 children. In country B, the life span is
90 years but couples have 4 children. Despite the much longer
life span in country B, their population growth rate will be
much lower than that of country A. It makes little difference
over the long term how many years people live after they have
had children. The population growth rate is determined by
how many children we have, not how long we live.
Even the short-term upward effect on population due to a
falling death rate may be cancelled by a delay in child bear-
ing. Many women in developed countries choose to bear
children by their early 30s because the obstacles to success-
ful pregnancy grow as they age. As the last few decades have
already shown, extending the fertile period of womens lives
would allow them to put off having children until later, until
they have developed their careers. Not only will couples have
children later, we can expect them to be better positioned
financially and psychologically to care for them.
Almost certainly, the first truly effective technologies to
extend the maximum human life span will come with a sig-
nificant cost of human development and application. As a
consequence population effects would first be felt in the devel-
oped countries. This points to another flaw in the suggestion